💵 💴 💶Russia Turns to Bitcoin for International Trade Amid Sanctions💴 💶
Russian companies have started using Bitcoin and other digital currencies for cross-border payments after new laws made such transactions possible. This shift comes as Western sanctions make trade with key partners like China and Turkey increasingly challenging. International banks are becoming more reluctant to process transactions related to Russia to avoid regulatory scrutiny.
GLOBAL MARKETS
As the year-end approaches, trading volumes have declined, and investor focus remains on interest rate expectations from the US Federal Reserve (Fed). The stock exchanges in Hong Kong, Australia, and New Zealand will remain closed today due to Christmas holidays. Following the last monetary policy meeting, Fed Chair Jerome Powell signaled fewer rate cuts than anticipated next year, leading traders to price in only a 35-basis-point rate cut for 2025.
BoJ Governor Projects Inflation Target Nearing in 2025Bank of Japan (BOJ) Governor Kazuo Ueda stated on Wednesday that Japan’s economy is expected to get closer to sustainably achieving the central bank’s 2% inflation target next year. This suggests that the timing for the next interest rate hike is approaching.
Technical Overview
DXY
The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) continues to trade within a descending wedge on the daily chart. Currently priced at 106.39, the index is holding above the 105.68 horizontal support level, suggesting the uptrend may persist for a while longer. If the trend continues, potential resistance levels are 107.34 and 110. A strong breakout above 107.34 could push the index towards 112.
Resistances: 108.00 / 110.00 / 115.76
Supports: 105.68 / 104.38 / 103.46
BTC/USD
The recovery process in Bitcoin continues to gain strength. Currently, it is trading at $94,691. Following yesterday’s declines, the recovery movements are ongoing. At this point, the critical level to watch is $87,956. As long as Bitcoin stays above this support level, the upward trend is likely to continue towards the $108,995 level. However, if the $95,540 support is lost, a potential downtrend could push the price down to $88,362.
Resistance levels: 108,985 / 118,500 / 123,550
Support levels: 95,000 / 88,362 / 83,365
ETH/USD
In Ethereum, the anticipated target of $4,086 was reached, followed by a sharp pullback. Currently, it is trading at $3,256. At this point, the critical level to watch closely is $3,110, which serves as a horizontal support point. As long as there is no significant close below this level, the outlook will remain positive. However, if a close occurs below this support level, a potential downtrend could push the price down to $2,808.
Resistance levels: 3,539 / 4,086 / 4,782
Support levels: 3,110 / 2,808 / 2,134
NASDAQ
The Nasdaq index continues its uptrend within a rising channel on the weekly chart. However, a wedge formation within the channel has rejected the price at the resistance level, with the index currently trading at 21,368. If the 21,700 level is surpassed and maintained, the index could break the main channel resistance and extend its rally to 22,500. On the downside, breaking below the critical 20,695 support may invite selling pressure, potentially pulling the index down to 20,000.
Resistances: 23,117 / 24,380 / 26,200
Supports: 20,694 / 18,788 / 17,291
BRENT
Brent crude has shown mid-term recovery, regaining its previously lost channel structure. Having surpassed the 76.98 resistance level, the price is likely to rise towards the 80.00–82.00 range if it maintains this level. Key support stands at 72.37, where buyers are expected to step in to sustain the trend.
Resistances: 76.15 / 85.84 / 95.53
Supports: 70.17 / 69.00 / 67.80
EURUSD
The Euro formed a double top at 1.11 and entered a downtrend. Losing the 1.10 support led to a pullback to the lower channel boundary at 1.07. After breaking the rising support level, the Euro slid to 1.046. At this critical support level, buyers are likely to re-enter the market. However, if the support is broken, the Euro may face deeper declines, potentially reaching 1.099. Price action at these levels will be pivotal in determining the next directional move.
Resistances: 1.0575 / 1.1043 / 1.1213
Supports: 1.0180 / 0.9936 / 0.9542
XAUUSD
Gold recovered from the 2608 level and successfully reached the anticipated target. With the breakout of the descending channel resistance, gold managed to rise back above the 2710 resistance level. As long as it maintains its position above this resistance level, it is expected to sustain its upward momentum and preserve the potential to rise toward the 2756 region.
Resistances: 2757 / 2790 / 2800
Supports: 2608 / 2622 / 2590
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