💵 💴 💶GLOBAL MARKETS💴 💶

Asian markets struggled to find direction, while the dollar maintained its value, and the yen hovered near its five-month low. As the year-end approaches, investors have started focusing on 2025, when the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) is expected to gradually lower interest rates. Meanwhile, the Bank of Japan (BOJ) is anticipated to raise rates in the short term. According to the minutes of BOJ’s December monetary policy meeting released today, the central bank might consider a rate hike in January. BOJ had decided to keep rates steady in December.

U.S. Stocks Closed Mixed Amid Low Trading Volume

U.S. stocks closed a quiet post-holiday trading session with little notable change. Mixed data on weekly jobless claims had no significant impact on expectations regarding the Federal Reserve’s interest rate policies. Continuing unemployment claims reached their highest level in three years, while initial weekly claims showed a decline.

BoJ Governor Projects Inflation Target Nearing in 2025

Bank of Japan (BOJ) Governor Kazuo Ueda stated on Wednesday that Japan’s economy is expected to get closer to sustainably achieving the central bank’s 2% inflation target next year. This suggests that the timing for the next interest rate hike is approaching.

Technical Overview

DXY

The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) continues to trade within a descending wedge on the daily chart. Currently priced at 106.39, the index is holding above the 105.68 horizontal support level, suggesting the uptrend may persist for a while longer. If the trend continues, potential resistance levels are 107.34 and 110. A strong breakout above 107.34 could push the index towards 112.

Resistances: 108.00 / 110.00 / 115.76
Supports: 105.68 / 104.38 / 103.46

BTC/USD

The recovery process in Bitcoin continues to gain strength. Currently, it is trading at $94,691. Following yesterday’s declines, the recovery movements are ongoing. At this point, the critical level to watch is $87,956. As long as Bitcoin stays above this support level, the upward trend is likely to continue towards the $108,995 level. However, if the $95,540 support is lost, a potential downtrend could push the price down to $88,362.

Resistance levels: 108,985 / 118,500 / 123,550
Support levels: 95,000 / 88,362 / 83,365

ETH/USD

In Ethereum, the anticipated target of $4,086 was reached, followed by a sharp pullback. Currently, it is trading at $3,256. At this point, the critical level to watch closely is $3,110, which serves as a horizontal support point. As long as there is no significant close below this level, the outlook will remain positive. However, if a close occurs below this support level, a potential downtrend could push the price down to $2,808.

Resistance levels: 3,539 / 4,086 / 4,782
Support levels: 3,110 / 2,808 / 2,134

NASDAQ

The Nasdaq index continues its uptrend within a rising channel on the weekly chart. However, a wedge formation within the channel has rejected the price at the resistance level, with the index currently trading at 21,368. If the 21,700 level is surpassed and maintained, the index could break the main channel resistance and extend its rally to 22,500. On the downside, breaking below the critical 20,695 support may invite selling pressure, potentially pulling the index down to 20,000.

Resistances: 23,117 / 24,380 / 26,200
Supports: 20,694 / 18,788 / 17,291

BRENT

Brent crude has shown mid-term recovery, regaining its previously lost channel structure. Having surpassed the 76.98 resistance level, the price is likely to rise towards the 80.00–82.00 range if it maintains this level. Key support stands at 72.37, where buyers are expected to step in to sustain the trend.

Resistances: 76.15 / 85.84 / 95.53
Supports: 70.17 / 69.00 / 67.80

EURUSD

The Euro formed a double top at 1.11 and entered a downtrend. Losing the 1.10 support led to a pullback to the lower channel boundary at 1.07. After breaking the rising support level, the Euro slid to 1.046. At this critical support level, buyers are likely to re-enter the market. However, if the support is broken, the Euro may face deeper declines, potentially reaching 1.099. Price action at these levels will be pivotal in determining the next directional move.

Resistances: 1.0575 / 1.1043 / 1.1213
Supports: 1.0180 / 0.9936 / 0.9542

XAUUSD

Gold recovered from the 2608 level and successfully reached the anticipated target. With the breakout of the descending channel resistance, gold managed to rise back above the 2710 resistance level. As long as it maintains its position above this resistance level, it is expected to sustain its upward momentum and preserve the potential to rise toward the 2756 region.

Resistances: 2757 / 2790 / 2800
Supports: 2608 / 2622 / 2590

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